• JorDonna Cole

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Possibilities – The Elliot Wave

I last told you that my accounts have pretty much been decimated in this market that keeps flip flopping for such short periods of time. All I can do is execute repair strategies on some of the trades that I am upside down in. I successfully exited 1 repair trade with about $80 of profit, not including all of my commission costs. A third attempt to gain more ground on repairing another of my trades with a bearish play didn’t go so well. That stock just soared this past week. So I reversed it to a bullish play and I am down another 80¢ per contract. There is another trade which I finally switched from bullish to bearish less than two weeks ago. Had I just left it alone, I could have closed it with a profit on Friday after last week’s great run up. Instead I am still down 45¢ per contract. On the up side, I did exit another bullish trade with a profit last week that was NOT a repair strategy. Read more »

Take a Deep Breath

Last week my husband headed over to Arkansas to help Walmart with their 3D Visual Design Integration team. He will be one of a handful of designers who will help define the in-store experience for shoppers at Walmart and their other related chains. Although Larry has been primarily a graphic designer, he is well known in the mass-retail arena for his problem solving skills. This contract brings great relief to me and means that I can once again trade for the joy of it.

If you follow this blog, you know that I love to trade. However, this year has been rough. Trading became our only source of income last year when our graphic design firm’s clientele tightened up their budgets and cut our services. It was scary, but I did manage to generate enough profit each month to cover our expenses up until January of this year. That is when a brutal turn of events took place… I was stretched thin with a lot of open positions when a market reversal hit. It seems like I have been repeating the exact same scenario over and over all year. I will be in a series of solid trades, on the right side of the market movement, each within 1 day of closing the position with profit, then the market reverses. Then, as if that weren’t bad enough, I will reverse my position so I can regain profits, only to have the market flip back over to the direction it was originally headed in!

I keep telling myself that the market isn’t out to get me, but some days it sure feels like it doesn’t like me.

In May, my account was full of bullish positions. Although the market had been overbought for months, it just continued to climb higher. I knew a pullback was coming at some point and when it finally did show up, I was in pretty good shape… for the first two weeks. Then the market continued to drop throughout expiration week and I had to buy back all of those bullish positions. This maneuver shot my account all to pieces. At this point I haven’t even attempted to repair those positions because I no longer have enough cash in my account to go back in and fix them all.

So here I am, just sitting out until I can see which direction the market is heading. My account is just too fragile to risk any more losses. These past few months I have been trading lighter, but I still had the pressure of our family’s financial obligations which needed to be met by pulling profits out of the market. It has been a real struggle and one that has left me virtually numb. Recently I had four positions which I had to buy back. The total impact on my account was a enough money to have covered our family bills for 3 months. I am basically at the point where I cannot lose any more of my capital, and I cannot afford to take any money away from my capital to pay the bills or I will not be able to dig out of this hole. No pressure, right?

Needless to say, this is not a good situation to be in. I find it hard to believe that anyone can trade like this and not have their emotions step in and screw up their trades. So my husband and I are extremely thankful for this contract with Walmart. It has been in the works for several weeks, and finally started last Tuesday.

I am simply amazed at the recent turn of events in our trading account. Two extremely bad months of trading, coupled with the need to pull money out of the account to cover our living expenses and taxes for last year, has decimated my trading account. We knew we were pushing our luck. Living exclusively off of our trading income while our account was still rather small was not the best plan, but we didn’t have another choice. So now that we have established another revenue string for awhile, I will cautiously repair my account and continue to grow it. That said, I also plan to start funneling more funds towards my Forex account since my success continues to compound in that area.

Just think, if you have a $2,000 account that you are day trading in, whether it be currencies, index futures, or commodity futures, and you make just 2% a day, each trading day, you will have a million dollar account in just over 13 months. That is the target for my Forex account. And once I achieve it, I intend to grow my options account up to the point where I can comfortably live on it again. However, this time I intend to have an account that is large enough to weather the rough trading times.

To end this post on a positive note, I would like to say that I did manage to increase my options trading account by 2.1% last week too!

Fibonacci

Many of us have been waiting for this pullback since March. Now that it’s here, what’s next? Good Question…

After the last two days of market activity, we appear to be in a downtrend. However, I am still very much bullish on our markets in the long term. This recent activity has been the healthy pullback our market has needed for some time. That said, there is still room for the market to go lower.

I primarily use the S&P 500 to judge the current market trend. When I look at the Fibonacci Retracements (fibs), I can see the possibility of a bounce at 1120 or even 1107. Yet if you look at the entire move from March of ’09, the 38% retracement is down near 1000. I am not saying it will go that low, but it is important to note that this is a real possibility. Until the market bounces and breaks the recent highs at 1219.80 we could still see a downward trend.

I bring this possibility up so that when you are reviewing stocks, you are not only aware of the obvious areas of support and resistance, but that you also consider the fibs as potential areas to find support and resistance in the overall trend. By embracing the possibility of where a stock or the overall market may go, it is much easier for you to remain objective in your investing decisions. I learned about using fibs during my futures education under Greg Delassandri. Fibonacci sequences can be found throughout math, architecture, art, and nature, as pictured above. Read more »

Rebound

Well that was a crazy week in the market. We experienced new highs on Monday, a scary pull back on Tuesday, then two days of recovery, followed by another down day on Friday. I really wonder how this week will pan out…

Rebound
I finally made a decent profit in April, even with that large loss on Goldman Sachs. I finished out the month with a 6.3% increase in my account’s equity. I’ve got my bills covered for the month with some left to keep the account growing. Even though I finished out with a profit I was still feeling down. I keep beating myself up over that GS thing. I even went back into a bear call spread to recover some of the loss. Although the option premiums are huge right now, the market maker isn’t playing fair on the Greeks at all. I received a 91¢ credit on a spread that was $10 out of the money, and 3 days later when it was $20 out of the money, it only decreased 25¢ in value. So I just closed out the trade and decided to walk away from GS. It isn’t worth it. I can take that same amount of margin and make $2,500 on the right trade versus $250 in GS these days. Read more »

Lemonade

I really don’t feel like writing a new post this weekend. I am dealing with the emotional after effects of having a great position turn into a lemon in a BIG way on Friday. As I went through my morning earlier today, I kept thinking of all the emails I have received expressing appreciation for my honesty in sharing my experiences along this wild trading journey. However, I still did not want to write about this horrible experience… I am still EXTREMELY frustrated with myself.

Then I had a total epiphany! As I watched a Lance Wallnau video this morning, I received this huge revelation about the trade that went oh so bad for me. That is when I realized that I had to share my newly discovered knowledge. So here is my story… Read more »

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